
REGIONAL SUMMARY:
During the twenty-fifth week of 2026, a total of 30 disaster events were reported across the ASEAN region, including droughts, earthquakes, floods, landslides, storms, and wind-related disasters in Indonesia, Thailand, and Viet Nam. In addition to these three countries, the Philippines’ National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) continued to provide updates on the impacts of the M7.8 earthquake in Sarangani, Philippines, which occurred on 8 June 2026. In Indonesia, Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) reported disaster events in Aceh, Gorontalo, West Java, Central Java, East Java, West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, West Nusa Tenggara, Central Sulawesi, and North Sulawesi. Meanwhile, in Thailand, Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM) reported storms and winds in Phetchaburi, Prachin Buri, and Yasothon. Lastly, in Viet Nam, Viet Nam Disaster and Dyke Management Authority (VDDMA) reported storms, strong winds, flooding, and landslides in Tuyen Quang, Hai Phong, Quang Ngai, Cao Bang, Thai Nguyen, Dong Nai, Ca Mau, Hue, and Phu Tho.
HIGHLIGHT:
In Indonesia, according to BMKG, M6.7 earthquake struck Central Sulawesi Province, Indonesia, on 16 June 2026 at 1027H UTC+7, at a depth of 10 km, with its epicentre located 42 km southeast of Palu, Central Sulawesi. The earthquake posed no tsunami threat. According to BMKG, as of 22 June 2026 at 0630H UTC+7, a total of 1,256 aftershocks had been recorded since the mainshock, although the frequency of aftershocks has generally declined over successive observation periods. According to BNPB, as of 21 June 2026 at 2300H UTC+7, the earthquake had resulted in 3 fatalities, 111 people with minor injuries, 17 people with serious injuries, and affected approximately 2.99K families (8.82K persons) across Central Sulawesi. Reported damages include approximately 2.66K houses (1.92K lightly damaged, 522 moderately damaged, and 212 severely damaged), as well as 90 places of worship, 31 educational facilities, 6 health facilities, 2 bridges, and 1 provincial road section connecting Palu–Sigi–Poso as well as 21 government office buildings and other public facilities.
BNPB continues to coordinate the emergency response with the provincial and district governments. Government of Central Sulawesi Province, as well as the governments of Sigi and Parigi Moutong districts, have declared a state of emergency response. BNPB has also mobilised relief items, including evacuation tents, family tents, food packages, mats, blankets, tarpaulins, and other essential relief supplies. Head of BNPB visited the affected areas and chaired a coordination meeting with relevant stakeholders, including local governments, TNI-Polri, BPBD, and other relevant agencies, to review the latest situation, emergency response priorities, and recovery planning. BNPB also plans to construct temporary shelters (HUNTARA) for households whose homes were severely damaged; establish temporary mosques and churches; support debris clearance, reopening of landslide-affected road access, river normalisation, and logistics operations; and coordinate rehabilitation and reconstruction efforts with relevant ministries and agencies. The AHA Centre continues to coordinate closely with BNPB and remains ready to provide assistance should the need arise.
HYDRO-METEO-CLIMATOLOGICAL:
For the past week, data from the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) indicated medium to high seven-day average rainfall across Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam. As of 22 June at 1000H UTC+7, TC MEKKHALA, at typhoon category, had rapidly intensified while moving west-northwestward over the Philippine Sea. Although MEKKHALA is expected to remain far from the Philippine landmass, heavy rainfall and strong winds may still affect several areas of the Philippines (PAGASA). In addition, another tropical disturbance, INVEST 94W, located over the west Pacific Ocean, is forecast to move westward towards extreme northern Luzon, Philippines, before recurving towards Taiwan. 94W has a medium potential to develop into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours (PAGASA, JTWC).
GEOPHYSICAL:
Eleven (11) significant earthquakes (M>5.0) were recorded by Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) and the Philippines Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS). Mount Semeru (alert level III), Lewotobi Laki-laki (alert level III), Ili Lewotolok (alert level II), and Ibu (alert level II) in Indonesia, and Taal (alert level 1), Mayon (alert level 3), Bulusan (alert level 1), and Kanlaon (alert level 2) volcanoes in the Philippines reported recent volcanic activity according to Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi (PVMBG) and PHIVOLCS.
OUTLOOK:
According to the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC), for the coming week, drier conditions are predicted over most of the equatorial region; and warmer than usual temperatures are predicted over most of the Maritime Continent as well as most of central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia. For assessment of extreme, there is a small increase in chance of very heavy rainfall over the central Philippines. Meanwhile, a moderate increase in chance of extreme hot conditions is forecast over southern Philippines, eastern Borneo, northern Sulawesi, Maluku Islands, eastern Thailand, and northern Cambodia, while a small increase in chance is expected across most of the central, eastern, north-eastern, and southern Maritime Continent, as well as much of central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia. The El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) monitoring system state is “El Niño Conditions”. Models strongly agree that the El Niño conditions will continue through the second half of 2026, with strong conditions likely from August-September 2026. During El Niño, it is typically drier for much of the region.
Sources:
ASEAN Disaster Monitoring & Response System (DMRS); ASEAN Disaster Information Network (ADINet); ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC); ASEAN Earthquake Information Centre (AEIC); Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC);
Indonesia: BNPB, BMKG, PVMBG;
Philippines: NDRRMC, PAGASA, PHIVOLCS;
Thailand: DDPM;
Viet Nam: VDDMA;
Various news agencies.







