REGIONAL SUMMARY:
For the thirty-seventh week of 2024, the ASEAN region experience 29 significant disasters, including floods, landslides, storms, strong winds, and drought. Indonesia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam were affected by these disasters. The Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) of Indonesia reported flooding in Central Kalimantan, Northern Sumatra, and DKI Jakarta, while droughts were reported in Yagyakarta, and East Java. In Lao PDR, the National Disaster Management Office (NDMO) Lao PDR reported floods, landslides, storms, and strong winds in Vientiane Capital, Phongsali, Wangantha, Oudomxay, Ban Gao, Luang Prabang, Xayabouri, and Xiangkhouang. The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) Myanmar also reported flooding, landslides, storms, and strong winds that affected Naypyitaw, Kayah, Kayin, Bago, Magway, Mandalay, Mon, Shan, and Ayeyarwaddy. In the Philippines, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reported the flooding, storms, landslides, and strong winds that affected CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Regions V, VI, VII, IX, X, XI, XII, and BARMM. In Thailand, the flooding and landslides reported from Week 33 persisted with reported impacts in 28 provinces (DDPM). Lastly, the Viet Nam Disaster and Dyke Management Authority (VDDMA) reported flooding, landslides, storms, strong winds, and storm surge in the Northern Region which started from Week 36
HIGHLIGHT:
Tropical Cyclone YAGI, which brought catastrophic impacts in the Philippines from Week 35 and Viet Nam in Week 36, caused widespread flooding, landslides, storms, and strong winds that persisted until Week 37. In addition, Tropical Cyclone YAGI enhanced the prevailing Southwest Monsoon and Monsoon winds and caused moderate to intense rainfall across most of Mainland Southeast Asia. The combined effects of TC YAGI and the Southwest Monsoon resulted to 412 fatalities, 1.9K injuries, 38 missing persons, and approximately 2.07M people affected across Lao PDR, Myanmar, Thailand, and Viet Nam. In terms of damages, about 235.48K houses, 164 road sections, 622 schools, 8 health facilities, 96 worship places, and about 219 other infrastructures and facilities were affected. (NDMO Lao PDR, DDM, DDPM, and VDDMA)
Authorities provided early warning information and preparedness measures to mitigate the impacts of Super Typhoon YAGI. Immediately after the impacts, authorities conducted damage and needs assessments and provided support and assistance to affected communities. The AHA Centre stands ready to support the affected countries and other member states that may be affected by the impacts of Typhoon YAGI and the Southwest Monsoon.
HYDRO-METEO-CLIMATOLOGICAL:
For the past week, data from the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) indicates a 7-day average rainfall ranging from medium to high across most of mainland Southeast Asia including Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia (Northern Sumatra, Kalimantan, and eastern Papua), Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam. High rainfall concentration was notable over the Philippines and Mainland Southeast Asia due to the effects of Tropical Cyclone YAGI, TC BEBINCA, and the Southwest Monsoon. As of this reporting period, Tropical Cyclone GENER (local name by PAGASA, INVEST 98W by JTWC) and Tropical Cyclone PULASAN are being closely monitored in the region. TC GENER is currently within the Philippine Area of Responsibility with a westward forecast track toward Northern Viet Nam (PAGASA, NCHMF, JTWC). Meanwhile, TC PULASAN is forecast to enter the PAR briefly and has a similar track to TC BEBINCA (PAGASA). Both these tropical disturbances are expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon. (PAGASA)
GEOPHYSICAL:
Seven (7) significant earthquakes (M>5.0) were recorded by Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) and the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS). Mount Marapi (alert level II), Semeru (alert level II), Lewotobi Laki-laki (alert level III), and Ibu (alert level III) in Indonesia, and Mayon Volcano (alert level 1), Taal (alert level 1), Kanlaon (alert level 2), and Bulusan (alert level 1) in the Philippines reported recent volcanic activity according to Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi (PVMBG) and PHIVOLCS
OUTLOOK:
According to the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC), for the coming week, wetter conditions are predicted for central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia and the northern half of the Philippines. Warmer than usual temperature is predicted over much of the Maritime Continent. For the regional assessment of extremes, there is a small increase in chance of very heavy rainfall over northern Philippines and parts of central and eastern Mainland Southeast Asia, including eastern Thailand and Cambodia, southern Lao PDR, and southern Viet Nam. For Mainland Southeast Asia, there is a small increase in chance of extreme hot conditions, in particular over northern Lao PDR, northern Thailand, and the northern half Myanmar. La Niña conditions are predicted to develop during September – October 2024.(ASMC)
Sources:
ASEAN Disaster Monitoring & Response System (DMRS); ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC); Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC);
Indonesia: BNPB, BMKG, PVMBG;
Lao PDR: NDMO Lao PDR, DMH;
Myanmar: DDM, DMH;
Philippines: NDRRMC, PAGASA, PHIVOLCS;
Thailand: DDPM, TMD;
Viet Nam: VDDMA, NCMHF
Various news agencies.